ECIAIR Keynote Speaker and Panel Outlines

The following are outlines for the Keynote Speeches which will take place at ECIAIR 2022.

AI on the Edge of Predictability

Dr Andy Edmonds, ThinkBase LLC, Wyoming, USA

AI is much concerned with modelling and predicting of difficult, vague or uncertain systems. Those predictions will necessarily be vague and uncertain too. Once filtered by the boardroom, the popular press, or the speech of politicians the uncertainties tend to vanish. When short term predictions prove dramatically wrong, whether produced by conventional models or AI, the public loses faith, and the suspicion arises that the modellers biased their predictions for partisan reasons.

This talk will look at some of the often-unconsidered sources of uncertainty, areas where overlooked techniques can provide useful analysis and some thoughts on the ethical presentation of uncertainty for lay audiences.